Why forecasts should be ranges
Scenarios expose uncertainty instead of hiding it behind one target.
Define what deserves attention
Monitoring every price move creates noise. Follow changes that alter business quality, income sustainability, risk or the original assumption.
Use this as a decision check
Can you explain both the purpose of the money and the downside without relying on a recent return?
A forecast must remain accountable
Keep the original range, assumptions and misses visible instead of rewriting the story after the outcome.